Lamar Jackson: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For The NFL Playoffs Ravens vs Texans – January 20, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 16, 2024

Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens will take on the Houston Texans at 4:30 PM ET on Saturday in the AFC Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs.

Lamar Jackson Player Props vs the Texans

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout
227.5 -115 53.5 -115 1.5 -105 9.5 -115

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 10 7
Games w/ 1+ TDs 12 3
Games w/ 2+ TDs 7 2

Lamar Jackson’s Passing Trends

  • Jackson has passed for 3,678 yards (229.9 per game) while completing 67.2% of his passes (307-for-457), with 24 touchdowns and seven interceptions.
  • With 3,678 yards on 457 attempts, Jackson ranks fourth in the NFL with 8.0 passing yards per attempt.
  • Jackson’s 24 passing touchdowns and 3,678 yards rank 11th and 15th, respectively, in league action.

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Jackson’s Rushing Trends

  • Jackson has also figured in the ground game, with 821 rushing yards (51.3 ypg) on 148 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
  • He averages 5.5 rushing yards per attempt, first in the NFL.

This Week’s Predictions

Jackson (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Texans (2023) Prediction
227.5+ Passing Yards 43.8% 46.4% 50% 45.7%
1+ Passing TDs 75% 77.1% 72.2% 74.6%
2+ Passing TDs 43.8% 39.2% 22.2% 37.8%
53.5+ Rushing Yards 43.8% 41.6% 24.1% 38.6%
1+ Rushing TDs 18.8% 35.5% 37.9% 25.7%
2+ Rushing TDs 12.5% 7.1% 6.9% 10.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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