Travis Kelce: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For The Playoff Round Chiefs vs Bills – January 21, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 16, 2024

Travis Kelce will hope to make a difference for the Kansas City Chiefs when they take on the Buffalo Bills at 6:30 PM ET on Sunday in the AFC Round of the NFL playoffs.

Travis Kelce Player Props vs the Bills

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
60.5 -115 +125
Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
60.5 -115 5.5 -130

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 5
Games w/ 1+ TDs 5
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0

Travis Kelce’s Receiving Trends

  • This season Kelce has 93 receptions (on 121 targets) for a team-high 984 receiving yards (65.6 per game) and five touchdowns.
  • So far this season, Kelce has collected 10.6 yards per reception, which ranks 78th in the NFL.
  • Kelce is 35th in the league with five receiving TDs, and 29th with 984 receiving yards.

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This Week’s Predictions

Kelce (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Bills (2023) Prediction
60.5+ Receiving Yards 46.7% 20.7% 13.3% 35.1%
1+ Receiving TDs 33.3% 22.2% 20% 28.6%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 2.6% 0% 0.3%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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