NFL playoff action in the AFC Round will see the Kansas City Chiefs and Isiah Pacheco face off against the Buffalo Bills at 6:30 PM ET on Sunday.
Isiah Pacheco Player Props vs the Bills
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.5 | -115 | 19.5 | -110 | +100 |
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.5 | -115 | 19.5 | -110 | 14.5 | -125 | 3.5 | +120 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 7 | 7 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 6 | 2 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
Isiah Pacheco’s Rushing Trends
- Kansas City’s top rusher, Pacheco, has rushed 205 times for 935 yards (66.8 per game), with seven touchdowns.
- He puts up 4.6 rushing yards per attempt, 11th in the league.
- Pacheco’s 935 rushing yards rank 18th in the NFL, and his seven TDs on the ground rank 16th.
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Pacheco’s Receiving Trends
- Pacheco also has 44 receptions for 244 yards (17.4 per game) and two TDs.
- Pacheco’s 5.5 yards per catch average is 137th in the league.
This Week’s Predictions
| Pacheco (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Bills (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.5+ Rushing Yards | 57.1% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 48.1% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 42.9% | 35.5% | 29.6% | 38.6% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 7.1% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| 19.5+ Receiving Yards | 42.9% | 68.6% | 72.2% | 53.4% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 14.3% | 22.2% | 20% | 16.7% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 2.6% | 0% | 0.3% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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