Stefon Diggs: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For The Playoff Round Bills vs Chiefs – January 21, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 16, 2024

Stefon Diggs and his Buffalo Bills teammates take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Round of the NFL playoffs at 6:30 PM ET on Sunday.

Stefon Diggs Player Props vs the Chiefs

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
66.5 -115 +145
Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
66.5 -115 5.5 -135

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 7
Games w/ 1+ TDs 6
Games w/ 2+ TDs 1

Stefon Diggs’ Receiving Trends

  • Diggs’ 1,183 receiving yards (69.6 per game) lead the Bills. He has 107 catches on 160 targets with eight touchdowns.
  • Diggs’ 11.1 yards per catch average is 67th in the NFL.
  • Diggs ranks eighth in the NFL with eight receiving TDs, and 13th with 1,183 receiving yards.

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This Week’s Predictions

Diggs (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Chiefs (2023) Prediction
66.5+ Receiving Yards 52.9% 17% 9.2% 37.5%
1+ Receiving TDs 35.3% 22.2% 18.4% 29.4%
2+ Receiving TDs 5.9% 2.6% 1.1% 4.3%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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