Josh Allen: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For The Wild Card Playoff Round Bills vs Steelers – January 15, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 13, 2024

The Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen will hit the field against the Pittsburgh Steelers at 4:30 PM ET on Monday for the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs.

Josh Allen Player Props vs the Steelers

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout
224.5 -115 1.5 +100 39.5 -125
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout
224.5 -115 39.5 -125 1.5 +100 9.5 +110

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 8 6
Games w/ 1+ TDs 16 12
Games w/ 2+ TDs 9 3

Josh Allen’s Passing Trends

  • Allen has passed for 4,306 yards (253.3 per game) while completing 66.5% of his passes (385-for-579), with 29 touchdowns and 18 interceptions.
  • With 4,306 yards on 579 attempts, Allen ranks 10th in the league with 7.4 passing yards per attempt.
  • Allen’s 4,306 passing yards and 29 passing touchdowns rank fourth and fifth, respectively, in league action.

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Allen’s Rushing Trends

  • Allen has added 524 rushing yards on 111 carries with 15 touchdowns, averaging 30.8 yards per game.
  • He ranks ninth in the NFL with 4.7 rushing yards per attempt.

This Week’s Predictions

Allen (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Steelers (2023) Prediction
224.5+ Passing Yards 70.6% 47.6% 64.7% 66.2%
1+ Passing TDs 94.1% 76.9% 82.4% 89%
2+ Passing TDs 52.9% 38.9% 35.3% 46.8%
39.5+ Rushing Yards 35.3% 60.4% 70.4% 47.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 70.6% 35.8% 25.9% 55.1%
2+ Rushing TDs 17.6% 7.2% 3.7% 12.8%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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