Dawson Knox: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For The Wild Card Playoff Round Bills vs Steelers – January 15, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 13, 2024

NFL playoff action in the AFC Wild Card Round will see the Buffalo Bills and Dawson Knox face off against the Pittsburgh Steelers at 4:30 PM ET on Monday.

Dawson Knox Player Props vs the Steelers

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
15.5 +100 +550
Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
15.5 +100 1.5 -115

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 4
Games w/ 1+ TDs 2
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0

Dawson Knox’s Receiving Trends

  • Knox has also added 22 grabs for 186 yards and two touchdowns this year. He has been targeted 36 times and averages 15.5 receiving yards per game.
  • So far this season, Knox has gained 8.5 yards per reception.
  • Knox ranks 206th in the league with 186 receiving yards, and 113th with two receiving TDs.

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This Week’s Predictions

Knox (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Steelers (2023) Prediction
15.5+ Receiving Yards 50% 76.6% 87.2% 62.6%
1+ Receiving TDs 20% 22.1% 20.5% 20.4%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 2.6% 5.1% 1.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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