Tua Tagovailoa: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For The Wild Card Playoff Round Dolphins vs Chiefs – January 13, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 13, 2024

Tua Tagovailoa and his Miami Dolphins teammates match up against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday.

Tua Tagovailoa Player Props vs the Chiefs

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
228.5 -115 1.5 +140 +1000
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout
228.5 -115 1.5 +140 2.5 +120

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 8 6
Games w/ 1+ TDs 16 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 8 0

Tua Tagovailoa’s Passing Trends

  • Tagovailoa leads Miami with 4,624 passing yards (272.0 per game) and has a 69.3% completion percentage (388-for-560), tossing 29 touchdowns and 14 interceptions.
  • With 4,624 yards on 560 attempts, Tagovailoa ranks second in the NFL with 8.3 passing yards per attempt.
  • Tagovailoa’s 29 passing touchdowns and 4,624 yards rank fifth and first, respectively, in league action.

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Tagovailoa’s Rushing Trends

  • Tagovailoa has tacked on 74 rushing yards on 35 carries, averaging 4.4 yards per game.
  • He picks up 2.1 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Tagovailoa (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Chiefs (2023) Prediction
228.5+ Passing Yards 76.5% 46.1% 41.2% 63.9%
1+ Passing TDs 94.1% 76.6% 76.5% 87.5%
2+ Passing TDs 47.1% 38.7% 23.5% 40.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 35.4% 30.8% 12.1%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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