Justin Watson and his Kansas City Chiefs teammates take on the Miami Dolphins in the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday.
Justin Watson Player Props vs the Dolphins
| Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | -115 | +310 |
| Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | -115 | 1.5 | -115 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Receiving | |
|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 8 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 3 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 |
Justin Watson’s Receiving Trends
- Watson’s 53 targets have resulted in 27 catches for 460 yards (28.8 ypg) and three touchdowns.
- Watson averages 17.0 yards per catch (460 yards on 27 receptions) this season.
- Watson ranks 82nd in the league with three receiving TDs, and 95th with 460 receiving yards.
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This Week’s Predictions
| Watson (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Dolphins (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5+ Receiving Yards | 56.2% | 70.3% | 68.1% | 60.9% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 20% | 22.1% | 22.3% | 20.8% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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