NFL playoff action in the AFC Wild Card Round will see the Pittsburgh Steelers and Jaylen Warren face off against the Buffalo Bills at 4:30 PM ET on Monday.
Jaylen Warren Player Props vs the Bills
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.5 | -120 | 19.5 | -115 | +285 |
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.5 | -120 | 19.5 | -115 | 8.5 | +105 | 3.5 | +120 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 6 | 9 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 4 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 | 0 |
Jaylen Warren’s Rushing Trends
- Warren has 784 yards on 149 carries (46.1 ypg), with four rushing touchdowns.
- He averages 5.3 yards per carry (third in league).
- Warren’s 784 rushing yards are good for 28th in the league, and his four TDs rushing rank 35th.
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Warren’s Receiving Trends
- Warren also has 61 catches for 370 receiving yards (21.8 per game).
- Warren’s 6.1 yards per catch average is 131st in the league.
This Week’s Predictions
| Warren (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Bills (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.5+ Rushing Yards | 47.1% | 66% | 56% | 51.7% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 23.5% | 35.8% | 32% | 27.2% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 7.2% | 12% | 3.9% |
| 19.5+ Receiving Yards | 52.9% | 69.1% | 77.4% | 61% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 7.8% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 2.6% | 0% | 0.3% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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