The Pittsburgh Steelers and Najee Harris will square off against the Buffalo Bills at 4:30 PM ET on Monday for the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs.
Najee Harris Player Props vs the Bills
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 61.5 | -110 | +150 |
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.5 | -110 | 16.5 | +100 | 1.5 | -110 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 10 | 4 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 7 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
Najee Harris’ Rushing Trends
- Harris has 255 carries for a team-high 1,035 rushing yards (60.9 per game) and eight touchdowns.
- He averages 4.1 rushing yards per attempt, 23rd in the NFL.
- Harris’ 1,035 rushing yards are good for seventh in the NFL, and his eight TDs rushing rank 13th.
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Harris’ Receiving Trends
- Harris has added 29 catches for 170 yards (10.0 per game).
- Harris averages 5.9 yards per catch (170 yards on 29 receptions) this season.
This Week’s Predictions
| Harris (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Bills (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.5+ Rushing Yards | 52.9% | 33.9% | 36% | 46.3% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 41.2% | 35.8% | 32% | 38.2% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12% | 7.6% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 7.8% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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