NFL playoff action in the AFC Wild Card Round will see the Pittsburgh Steelers and Pat Freiermuth match up against the Buffalo Bills at 4:30 PM ET on Monday.
Pat Freiermuth Player Props vs the Bills
| Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | -120 | +600 |
| Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | -120 | 2.5 | +105 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Receiving | |
|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 3 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 2 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 |
Pat Freiermuth’s Receiving Trends
- Freiermuth’s 32 grabs are good enough for 308 yards (25.7 ypg) and two touchdowns. He’s been targeted 47 times.
- Freiermuth’s 9.6 yards per catch average is 103rd in the league.
- Freiermuth is 144th in the league with 308 receiving yards, and 113th with two receiving TDs.
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This Week’s Predictions
| Freiermuth (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Bills (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5+ Receiving Yards | 41.7% | 69.2% | 79.8% | 54.7% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 18.2% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 19.2% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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