Aaron Jones and his Green Bay Packers teammates match up against the Dallas Cowboys in the NFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs at 4:30 PM ET on Sunday.
Aaron Jones Player Props vs the Cowboys
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74.5 | -125 | 18.5 | -130 |
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74.5 | -125 | 18.5 | -130 | 17.5 | +100 | 2.5 | -166 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 5 | 5 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 2 | 1 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 | 0 |
Aaron Jones’ Rushing Trends
- Jones has taken 142 carries for a team-leading 656 rushing yards (59.6 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
- He averages 4.6 yards per carry (11th in league).
- Jones’ 656 yards rank 36th in the NFL, and his two TDs on the ground rank 59th.
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Jones’ Receiving Trends
- Jones has also tacked on 30 catches for 233 yards (21.2 per game) and one touchdown.
- So far this season, Jones has gained 7.8 yards per reception.
This Week’s Predictions
| Jones (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Cowboys (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74.5+ Rushing Yards | 27.3% | 20.4% | 7.7% | 21.5% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 18.2% | 35.5% | 34.6% | 24.5% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 7.1% | 0% | 0.9% |
| 18.5+ Receiving Yards | 45.5% | 72.1% | 68.5% | 54.6% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 9.1% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 12.5% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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