Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – December 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 16, 2023

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins — the former coming off a defeat, the latter a victory — will face each other on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The oddsmakers have made the Maple Leafs solid favorites at -147 on the moneyline, and the Penguins are at +122.

The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of December 16, 2023 at 9:18 AM ET. Head to the article below for the latest lines for this game and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: TOR: (-147) | PIT: (+122)
  • Puck line: TOR: -1.5 (161) | PIT: +1.5 (-195)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (-132) | Under: (+109)

Injury Report as of December 16

Maple Leafs: Timothy Liljegren: Ankle (Out), Joseph Woll: Ankle (Out), Mark Giordano: Finger (Out), John Klingberg: Hip (Out), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), Ryan Reaves: Leg (Questionable), Matthew Knies: Illness (Questionable), Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out)

Penguins: Chad Ruhwedel: Lower Body (Out), Rickard Rakell: Upper Body (Out), Matt Nieto: Lower Body (Out), Noel Acciari: Lower Body (Out), Bryan Rust: Upper Body (Out)

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Maple Leafs
Total Pick Under (6.5)
Spread Pick Penguins (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Team Stats

Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) Penguins Avg. (Rank)
3.52 (5th) Goals Scored 2.96 (23rd)
3.30 (22nd) Goals Allowed 2.61 (5th)
32.8 (8th) Shots 33.0 (5th)
32.3 (26th) Shots Allowed 31.4 (21st)

Maple Leafs Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
William Nylander 27 14 24 38 120 5 +4
Auston Matthews 27 23 12 35 122 7 +4
Mitchell Marner 27 12 20 32 60 3 +4
John Tavares 27 8 20 28 95 1 +7
Morgan Rielly 27 4 16 20 66 1 +3

How to Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Penguins

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Penguins Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Jake Guentzel 28 13 19 32 97 2 +10
Sidney Crosby 28 17 14 31 104 3 +12
Evgeni Malkin 28 10 14 24 73 2 0
Erik Karlsson 28 6 15 21 72 2 +12
Bryan Rust 22 10 10 20 71 0 +13

Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have put together a 13-11 record when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied win probability of 59.5%.
  • The Penguins have been listed as an underdog 10 times this season, and won six of those games.
  • Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Penguins have a 45.0% chance to win.
  • Toronto and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 16 of 27 games this season.
  • Pittsburgh has played 10 games this season with over 6.5 goals.

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