Patrick Mahomes II’s Kansas City Chiefs will take the field against the New England Patriots at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 15 of the 2023 NFL campaign.
Patrick Mahomes II Player Props vs the Patriots
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256.5 | -115 | 1.5 | -166 | 20.5 | -115 | +400 |
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256.5 | -115 | 20.5 | -115 | 1.5 | -166 | 4.5 | -120 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 4 | 8 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 12 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 8 | 0 |
Patrick Mahomes II’s Passing Trends
- Patrick Mahomes II has passed for 3,398 yards (261.4 per game) while completing 66.9% of his passes (326-for-487), with 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.
- With 3,398 yards on 487 attempts, Mahomes ranks 16th in the NFL with 7.0 passing yards per attempt.
- Mahomes is eighth in the NFL in passing yards (3,398) and fifth in TDs (23).
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Mahomes’ Rushing Trends
- Mahomes has also carried the ball 58 times for 339 yards, averaging 26.1 yards per game.
- He racks up 5.8 yards per carry (339 yards on 58 attempts).
This Week’s Predictions
| Mahomes (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Patriots (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256.5+ Passing Yards | 53.8% | 36.1% | 30.8% | 45.8% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 92.3% | 76.4% | 76.9% | 86.5% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 61.5% | 38.4% | 23.1% | 49% |
| 20.5+ Rushing Yards | 69.2% | 93% | 70% | 72.4% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 34.5% | 35% | 13.1% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 7.7% | 5% | 2.2% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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