Tony Pollard: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 15 Cowboys Vs Bills – December 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 13, 2023

NFL play in Week 15 will see the Dallas Cowboys and Tony Pollard face off against the Buffalo Bills at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.

Tony Pollard Player Props vs the Bills

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout
52.5 -120 20.5 -120
Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
52.5 -120 20.5 -120 13.5 -120 3.5 +120

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 5 5
Games w/ 1+ TDs 4 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 1 0

Tony Pollard’s Rushing Trends

  • Dallas’ top rusher, Pollard, has rushed 196 times for 796 yards (61.2 per game), with five touchdowns.
  • He averages 4.1 yards per carry (22nd in league).
  • Pollard’s 796 rushing yards are good for 10th in the league, and his five TDs rushing rank 18th.

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Pollard’s Receiving Trends

  • Pollard has also grabbed 49 passes for 285 yards (21.9 per game) this season.
  • Pollard’s 5.8 yards per catch average is 136th in the NFL.

This Week’s Predictions

Pollard (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Bills (2023) Prediction
52.5+ Rushing Yards 69.2% 46% 42.1% 59.5%
1+ Rushing TDs 30.8% 34.5% 26.3% 30.1%
2+ Rushing TDs 7.7% 7.6% 15.8% 9.7%
20.5+ Receiving Yards 38.5% 72.3% 79.1% 52.9%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 21.9% 23.9% 8.7%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 2.4% 0% 0.3%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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