Josh Allen: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 14 Bills Vs Chiefs – December 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 9, 2023

Josh Allen and his Buffalo Bills teammates hit the field against the Kansas City Chiefs in a Week 14 NFL matchup at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.

Josh Allen Player Props vs the Chiefs

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
261.5 -115 1.5 -150 33.5 -120 +135
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout
261.5 -115 33.5 -120 1.5 -150

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 7 4
Games w/ 1+ TDs 12 8
Games w/ 2+ TDs 8 1

Josh Allen’s Passing Trends

  • Allen has passed for 3,214 yards (267.8 per game) while completing 68.1% of his passes (295-for-433), with 24 touchdowns and 13 interceptions.
  • Allen ranks ninth in the league with 7.4 yards per attempt as a passer (3,214 total yards passing).
  • Allen is second in the NFL with 24 passing TDs, and sixth with 3,214 passing yards.

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Allen’s Rushing Trends

  • Allen has also figured in the ground game, with 342 rushing yards (28.5 ypg) on 62 carries with nine rushing touchdowns.
  • He racks up 5.5 yards per carry (342 yards on 62 attempts).

This Week’s Predictions

Allen (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Chiefs (2023) Prediction
261.5+ Passing Yards 58.3% 33.6% 16.7% 44.8%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 76.6% 83.3% 92.9%
2+ Passing TDs 66.7% 37.9% 33.3% 54.8%
33.5+ Rushing Yards 41.7% 75.3% 72.2% 53.5%
1+ Rushing TDs 66.7% 34.5% 33.3% 54.3%
2+ Rushing TDs 8.3% 7.8% 5.6% 7.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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