Week 14 of the NFL season features Joe Mixon and the Cincinnati Bengals facing off against the Indianapolis Colts at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.
Joe Mixon Player Props vs the Colts
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64.5 | +114 | 21.5 | -135 |
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.5 | +114 | 21.5 | -135 | 15.5 | -110 | 3.5 | -105 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 6 | 7 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 5 | 1 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
Joe Mixon’s Rushing Trends
- Mixon has run for a team-leading 689 yards on 180 carries (57.4 yards per game) while scoring six touchdowns.
- He ranks 31st in the NFL with 3.8 rushing yards per attempt.
- Mixon’s 689 yards rank 15th in the NFL, and his six TDs on the ground rank 11th.
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Mixon’s Receiving Trends
- Mixon has also caught 39 balls for 281 yards (23.4 per game) and one touchdown.
- So far this season, Mixon has collected 7.2 yards per reception, which ranks 120th in the league.
This Week’s Predictions
| Mixon (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Colts (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.5+ Rushing Yards | 50% | 31.7% | 34.8% | 43.9% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 41.7% | 34.5% | 47.8% | 42.3% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 8.3% | 7.8% | 26.1% | 12.7% |
| 21.5+ Receiving Yards | 58.3% | 70.5% | 79.7% | 65.2% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 8.3% | 21.6% | 20.3% | 13% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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