2023-24 Duke Men’s Basketball: Odds To Make NCAA Tournament, Win Title

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 8, 2023 - Last Updated on January 11, 2024

With +1200 odds, the Duke Blue Devils (27-8) carry the fourth-best odds in the NCAA to win the 2023-24 college basketball national championship. On Sunday, March 31, they square off against the NC State Wolfpack .

Duke won its previous game against Houston, 54-51, on Friday. Kyle Filipowski was its leading scorer with 16 points.

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Duke NCAA Championship Odds

  • National championship odds (preseason): +1100
  • National championship odds (on Dec. 31): +2200
  • National championship odds (pre-NCAA Tournament): +2500
  • National championship odds (current): +1200

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Duke Strength of Schedule, Tournament Resume

  • In terms of difficulty, based on our predictions, the Blue Devils are facing the 46th-ranked schedule in Division I this season.
  • For the remainder of 2023-24, Duke meets one team currently above .500, and one with records not as good as its own.
  • There are no games against Top 25 teams remaining on the Blue Devils’ schedule in 2023-24.
  • Against the No. 2 Houston Cougars on March 29, Duke notched its signature win of the season, a 54-51 victory.
  • Based on the RPI, the Blue Devils have six wins versus Quadrant 1 teams, tied for the 12th-most in Division 1.
  • Based on the RPI, Duke has six wins versus Quadrant 2 teams, tied for the 15th-most in the nation.
  • Against Quadrant 3 teams (based on the RPI), the Blue Devils are 7-1 (.875%) — tied for the 29th-most wins.

Duke Season Stats and Insights

  • The Blue Devils average 79.0 points per game (51st in college basketball) while allowing 66.0 per contest (26th in college basketball). They have a +455 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 13.0 points per game.
  • The Blue Devils connect on 8.4 three-pointers per game (80th in college basketball), 2.0 more than their opponents (6.4).
  • Duke’s 223.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 230th in college basketball, and the 186.4 points it allows per 100 possessions rank second in college basketball.
  • The Blue Devils win the turnover battle by 1.6 per game, committing 9.4 (30th in college basketball) while their opponents average 11.0.

Duke Leading Performers

  • The Blue Devils points and rebounds leader is Filipowski. He averages 16.6 points per game and grabs 8.2 rebounds.
  • The squad is led in assists by Tyrese Proctor’s 3.8 per game.
  • The Blue Devils are led by Jared McCain from long distance. He hits 2.3 shots from deep per game.
  • Filipowski averages 1.2 steals and 1.5 blocks per game. Both numbers are team-highs for Duke.

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