2023-24 North Carolina Men’s Basketball: Odds To Make NCAA Tournament, Win Title

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 8, 2023 - Last Updated on March 20, 2024

When it comes to winning the 2023-24 college basketball national championship, the North Carolina Tar Heels (29-7) sport the fifth-best odds in college basketball at +1000. Next up for them is a matchup versus the Alabama Crimson Tide at 9:39 PM ET on Thursday, March 28.

On Saturday, in its last game, North Carolina topped Michigan State 85-69. With 20 points, RJ Davis was its top scorer.

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North Carolina NCAA Championship Odds

  • National championship odds (preseason): +2200
  • National championship odds (on Dec. 31): +3000
  • National championship odds (pre-NCAA Tournament): +1600
  • National championship odds (current): +1000

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North Carolina Strength of Schedule, Tournament Resume

  • The Tar Heels have the 21st-toughest schedule in the nation, based on our predictions.
  • North Carolina’s remaining schedule includes one opponent above .500 and one with a poorer record than its own.
  • The Tar Heels’ remaining schedule includes one game versus Top 25 squads.
  • North Carolina defeated the No. 6-ranked Tennessee Volunteers, 100-92, on November 29. That victory goes down as its signature win of the season.
  • When facing Quadrant 1 teams (based on the RPI), the Tar Heels are 5-4 (.556%) — tied for the 14th-most wins.
  • North Carolina has the most Quadrant 2 wins in the country based on the RPI (11).

North Carolina Season Stats and Insights

  • The Tar Heels have a +426 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.8 points per game. They’re putting up 81.8 points per game to rank 20th in college basketball and are giving up 70.0 per contest to rank 112th in college basketball.
  • The Tar Heels knock down 8.0 three-pointers per game (120th in college basketball) at a 35.8% rate (78th in college basketball), compared to the 7.0 their opponents make while shooting 31.7% from deep.
  • North Carolina ranks 99th in college basketball with 248.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 80th in college basketball defensively with 212.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • The Tar Heels and their opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Tar Heels commit 9.7 per game (50th in college basketball) and force 9.9 (253rd in college basketball play).

North Carolina Leading Performers

  • The Tar Heels’ scoring leader is Davis, who averages 21.3 points per game.
  • Armando Bacot paces North Carolina with 10.2 rebounds per game, and Elliot Cadeau leads the squad with 4.1 assists per outing.
  • Davis is the top three-point shooter for the Tar Heels, connecting on 3.1 per contest.
  • North Carolina’s blocks leader is Bacot, who averages 1.4 per game. Harrison Ingram leads the team by averaging 1.4 steals an outing.

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