Ezekiel Elliott: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 7 Patriots Vs Bills – October 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 20, 2023

Ezekiel Elliott and his New England Patriots teammates take the field against the Buffalo Bills in a Week 7 NFL matchup at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Ezekiel Elliott Player Props vs the Bills

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
28.5 -115 8.5 -125 +350
Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
28.5 -115 8.5 -125 7.5 -125 1.5 -135

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 3 4
Games w/ 1+ TDs 1 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0 0

Ezekiel Elliott’s Rushing Trends

  • Elliott has totaled 193 rushing yards on 49 carries (32.2 yards per game) with one touchdown this season.
  • He averages 3.9 rushing yards per attempt, 25th in the NFL.
  • Elliott has churned out 193 rushing yards to rank 39th in the NFL, and his one TD on the ground rank 33rd.

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Elliott’s Receiving Trends

  • And Elliott has caught 13 passes for 59 yards (9.8 per game).
  • Elliott’s 4.5 yards per catch average is 141st in the league.

This Week’s Predictions

Elliott (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Bills (2023) Prediction
28.5+ Rushing Yards 50% 83.6% 77.8% 61.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 16.7% 32.5% 22.2% 20%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.4% 22.2% 6.6%
8.5+ Receiving Yards 50% 93.6% 93.1% 66.2%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 20.2% 13.8% 6%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 2.8% 0% 0.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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