Ezekiel Elliott and his New England Patriots teammates take the field against the Buffalo Bills in a Week 7 NFL matchup at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.
Ezekiel Elliott Player Props vs the Bills
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.5 | -115 | 8.5 | -125 | +350 |
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.5 | -115 | 8.5 | -125 | 7.5 | -125 | 1.5 | -135 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 3 | 4 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 | 0 |
Ezekiel Elliott’s Rushing Trends
- Elliott has totaled 193 rushing yards on 49 carries (32.2 yards per game) with one touchdown this season.
- He averages 3.9 rushing yards per attempt, 25th in the NFL.
- Elliott has churned out 193 rushing yards to rank 39th in the NFL, and his one TD on the ground rank 33rd.
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Elliott’s Receiving Trends
- And Elliott has caught 13 passes for 59 yards (9.8 per game).
- Elliott’s 4.5 yards per catch average is 141st in the league.
This Week’s Predictions
| Elliott (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Bills (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.5+ Rushing Yards | 50% | 83.6% | 77.8% | 61.2% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 16.7% | 32.5% | 22.2% | 20% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 8.4% | 22.2% | 6.6% |
| 8.5+ Receiving Yards | 50% | 93.6% | 93.1% | 66.2% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 20.2% | 13.8% | 6% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 2.8% | 0% | 0.4% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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