Aaron Jones: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 7 Packers Vs Broncos – October 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 19, 2023

Week 7 of the NFL season features Aaron Jones and the Green Bay Packers matching up against the Denver Broncos at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.

Aaron Jones Player Props vs the Broncos

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
53.5 -120 19.5 -115 +105
Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
53.5 -120 19.5 -115 11.5 -130 2.5 -135

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 0 1
Games w/ 1+ TDs 1 1
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0 0

Aaron Jones’ Rushing Trends

  • Jones has totaled 59 rushing yards on 14 carries (29.5 yards per game) with one touchdown this season.
  • He picks up 4.2 rushing yards per carry.
  • Jones’ 59 yards rank 90th in the league, and his one TD on the ground rank 33rd.

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Jones’ Receiving Trends

  • Jones also has three catches for 82 yards (41.0 per game) and one touchdown on the year.
  • Jones averages 27.3 yards per catch (82 yards on three receptions) this season.

This Week’s Predictions

Jones (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Broncos (2023) Prediction
53.5+ Rushing Yards 0% 42% 77.8% 24.7%
1+ Rushing TDs 50% 32.5% 44.4% 46.4%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.4% 33.3% 9.4%
19.5+ Receiving Yards 50% 73.6% 76.5% 59.6%
1+ Receiving TDs 50% 20.2% 29.4% 41.1%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 2.8% 8.8% 2.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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