Week 7 of the NFL season features Aaron Jones and the Green Bay Packers matching up against the Denver Broncos at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.
Aaron Jones Player Props vs the Broncos
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.5 | -120 | 19.5 | -115 | +105 |
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.5 | -120 | 19.5 | -115 | 11.5 | -130 | 2.5 | -135 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 0 | 1 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 1 | 1 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 | 0 |
Aaron Jones’ Rushing Trends
- Jones has totaled 59 rushing yards on 14 carries (29.5 yards per game) with one touchdown this season.
- He picks up 4.2 rushing yards per carry.
- Jones’ 59 yards rank 90th in the league, and his one TD on the ground rank 33rd.
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Jones’ Receiving Trends
- Jones also has three catches for 82 yards (41.0 per game) and one touchdown on the year.
- Jones averages 27.3 yards per catch (82 yards on three receptions) this season.
This Week’s Predictions
| Jones (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Broncos (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.5+ Rushing Yards | 0% | 42% | 77.8% | 24.7% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 50% | 32.5% | 44.4% | 46.4% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 8.4% | 33.3% | 9.4% |
| 19.5+ Receiving Yards | 50% | 73.6% | 76.5% | 59.6% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 50% | 20.2% | 29.4% | 41.1% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 2.8% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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