Josh Allen: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 7 Bills Vs Patriots – October 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 19, 2023

The Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen will hit the field against the New England Patriots at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday for a Week 7 NFL contest.

Josh Allen Player Props vs the Patriots

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
246.5 -115 1.5 -110 20.5 -115 +165
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout
246.5 -115 20.5 -115 1.5 -110 4.5 -160

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 3 1
Games w/ 1+ TDs 6 3
Games w/ 2+ TDs 4 0

Josh Allen’s Passing Trends

  • Allen has passed for 1,576 yards (262.7 per game) while completing 71.7% of his passes (147-for-205), with 13 touchdowns and six interceptions.
  • Allen ranks fifth in the NFL with 7.7 yards per attempt as a passer (1,576 total yards passing).
  • Allen ranks ninth in the NFL in passing yards (1,576) and third in touchdowns (13).

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Allen’s Rushing Trends

  • Allen has also rushed 22 times for 131 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 21.8 yards per game.
  • He averages 6.0 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Allen (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Patriots (2023) Prediction
246.5+ Passing Yards 50% 37.6% 33.3% 44.3%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 77.2% 83.3% 93%
2+ Passing TDs 66.7% 36% 16.7% 50.4%
20.5+ Rushing Yards 33.3% 91.3% 70% 49.7%
1+ Rushing TDs 50% 32.5% 20% 40.3%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.4% 10% 3.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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