Baker Mayfield: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 7 Buccaneers Vs Falcons – October 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 18, 2023

Week 7 of the NFL season features Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers facing the Atlanta Falcons at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Baker Mayfield Player Props vs the Falcons

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
220.5 -115 1.5 +175 10.5 +100 +500
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout
220.5 -115 10.5 +100 1.5 +175

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 2 3
Games w/ 1+ TDs 4 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 2 0

Baker Mayfield’s Passing Trends

  • Mayfield has passed for 1,088 yards (217.6 per game) while completing 65.4% of his passes (106-for-162), with seven touchdowns and three interceptions.
  • With 1,088 yards on 162 attempts, Mayfield ranks 22nd in the league with 6.7 passing yards per attempt.
  • Mayfield ranks 14th in the league with seven passing TDs, and 25th with 1,088 passing yards.

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Mayfield’s Rushing Trends

  • Mayfield has tacked on 67 rushing yards on 25 carries, averaging 13.4 yards per game.
  • He puts up 2.7 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Mayfield (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Falcons (2023) Prediction
220.5+ Passing Yards 40% 55.6% 33.3% 40.3%
1+ Passing TDs 80% 77.2% 100% 84.6%
2+ Passing TDs 40% 36% 33.3% 37.8%
10.5+ Rushing Yards 60% 98.3% 100% 74.8%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 32.5% 0% 4.1%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.4% 0% 1%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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