Week 7 of the NFL season features Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers facing the Atlanta Falcons at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.
Baker Mayfield Player Props vs the Falcons
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220.5 | -115 | 1.5 | +175 | 10.5 | +100 | +500 |
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220.5 | -115 | 10.5 | +100 | 1.5 | +175 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 2 | 3 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 4 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 2 | 0 |
Baker Mayfield’s Passing Trends
- Mayfield has passed for 1,088 yards (217.6 per game) while completing 65.4% of his passes (106-for-162), with seven touchdowns and three interceptions.
- With 1,088 yards on 162 attempts, Mayfield ranks 22nd in the league with 6.7 passing yards per attempt.
- Mayfield ranks 14th in the league with seven passing TDs, and 25th with 1,088 passing yards.
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Mayfield’s Rushing Trends
- Mayfield has tacked on 67 rushing yards on 25 carries, averaging 13.4 yards per game.
- He puts up 2.7 rushing yards per carry.
This Week’s Predictions
| Mayfield (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Falcons (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220.5+ Passing Yards | 40% | 55.6% | 33.3% | 40.3% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 80% | 77.2% | 100% | 84.6% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 40% | 36% | 33.3% | 37.8% |
| 10.5+ Rushing Yards | 60% | 98.3% | 100% | 74.8% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 32.5% | 0% | 4.1% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 8.4% | 0% | 1% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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