Justin Herbert: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 7 Chargers Vs Chiefs – October 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 18, 2023

Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers will hit the field against the Kansas City Chiefs at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday in Week 7 of the 2023 NFL campaign.

Justin Herbert Player Props vs the Chiefs

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
267.5 -105 1.5 -125 16.5 -110 +400
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout
267.5 -105 16.5 -110 1.5 -125 3.5 -105

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 2 3
Games w/ 1+ TDs 5 2
Games w/ 2+ TDs 3 1

Justin Herbert’s Passing Trends

  • Herbert has passed for 1,332 yards (266.4 per game) while completing 68.7% of his passes (125-for-182), with nine touchdowns and two interceptions.
  • Herbert ranks eighth in the NFL with 7.3 yards per attempt as a passer (1,332 total yards passing).
  • Herbert ranks ninth in the league with nine touchdowns through the air, and 15th with 1,332 yards.

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Herbert’s Rushing Trends

  • Herbert has also chipped in on the ground, with 76 rushing yards (15.2 ypg) on 26 carries with three rushing touchdowns.
  • He averages 2.9 yards per rush.

This Week’s Predictions

Herbert (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Chiefs (2023) Prediction
267.5+ Passing Yards 40% 30.7% 16.7% 33%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 77.2% 83.3% 93%
2+ Passing TDs 60% 36% 33.3% 50.3%
16.5+ Rushing Yards 60% 94.8% 100% 74.4%
1+ Rushing TDs 40% 32.5% 11.1% 31.8%
2+ Rushing TDs 20% 8.4% 0% 13.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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