Patrick Mahomes II: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 7 Chiefs Vs Chargers – October 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 18, 2023

Week 7 NFL action will see Patrick Mahomes II and the Kansas City Chiefs hit the field against the Los Angeles Chargers at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.

Patrick Mahomes II Player Props vs the Chargers

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
280.5 -115 2.5 +160 25.5 -115 +290
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout
280.5 -115 25.5 -115 2.5 +160 4.5 +130

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 2 5
Games w/ 1+ TDs 6 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 4 0

Patrick Mahomes II’s Passing Trends

  • Mahomes has passed for 1,593 yards (265.5 per game) while completing 68.3% of his passes (153-for-224), with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions.
  • With 1,593 yards on 224 attempts, Mahomes ranks 12th in the league with 7.1 passing yards per attempt.
  • Mahomes’ 1,593 passing yards and 11 passing touchdowns rank eighth and fifth, respectively, in NFL play.

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Mahomes’ Rushing Trends

  • Mahomes has added 185 rushing yards (30.8 ypg) on 29 carries.
  • He averages 6.4 yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Mahomes (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Chargers (2023) Prediction
280.5+ Passing Yards 50% 26.5% 40% 44.6%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 77.2% 80.0% 92.2%
2+ Passing TDs 66.7% 36.0% 40.0% 56.2%
25.5+ Rushing Yards 83.3% 87.4% 100% 88%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 32.5% 57.1% 18.3%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.4% 0.0% 1%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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