Derek Carr: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 7 Saints Vs Jaguars – October 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 17, 2023

NFL action in Week 7 will see the New Orleans Saints and Derek Carr face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday.

Derek Carr Player Props vs the Jaguars

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
239.5 -105 1.5 +124 1.5 -105 +800
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout
239.5 -105 1.5 -105 1.5 +124

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 2 1
Games w/ 1+ TDs 4 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 1 0

Derek Carr’s Passing Trends

  • Carr has thrown for 1,299 yards (216.5 per game) while completing 65% of his passes (130-of-200), with five touchdowns and three interceptions.
  • Carr averages 6.5 yards per attempt as a passer this season, which ranks 25th in the league.
  • Carr is 16th in the league with 1,299 passing yards, and 23rd with five TDs.

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Carr’s Rushing Trends

  • Carr has added seven rushing yards on 11 carries, averaging 1.2 yards per game.
  • He picks up 0.6 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Carr (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Jaguars (2023) Prediction
239.5+ Passing Yards 33.3% 42.2% 66.7% 42.8%
1+ Passing TDs 66.7% 77.0% 100.0% 76.3%
2+ Passing TDs 16.7% 36.4% 50.0% 27.5%
1.5+ Rushing Yards 50% 99.6% 100% 68.7%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 32.5% 30.0% 11.6%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.1% 0.0% 1%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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