Sabres vs. Lightning Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – October 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 16, 2023

The Buffalo Sabres (0-2) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (1-2) on Tuesday, October 17, with both teams coming off a defeat in their last game. The sportsbooks have made the Sabres solid favorites at -126 on the moneyline, and the Lightning are at +104.

The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of October 17, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Head to the article below for the latest lines for this outing and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Sabres vs. Lightning Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: BUF: (-126) | TB: (+104)
  • Puck line: BUF: -1.5 (184) | TB: +1.5 (-230)
  • Total: 7 — Over: (+104) | Under: (-126)

Injury Report as of October 17

Sabres: Jack Quinn: Achilles (Out), Matthew Savoie: Shoulder (Out)

Lightning: Steven Stamkos: Lower Body (Out), Tyler Motte: Hand (Out), Andrei Vasilevskiy: Back (Out), Jack Finley: Undisclosed (Out), Roman Schmidt: Undisclosed (Out), Brent Seabrook: Shoulder/Back/Hip (Out), Logan Brown: Undisclosed (Out)

Sabres vs. Lightning Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Lightning
Total Pick Under (7)
Spread Pick Lightning (+1.5)

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Sabres vs. Lightning Team Stats (2022-23)

Sabres Avg. (Rank) Lightning Avg. (Rank)
3.57 (3rd) Goals Scored 3.41 (8th)
3.62 (25th) Goals Allowed 3.07 (14th)
32.5 (10th) Shots 32.0 (12th)
33.0 (26th) Shots Allowed 31.5 (20th)

Sabres Key Players (Stats from 2022-23)

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Tage Thompson 78 47 47 94 295 20 +4
Jeff Skinner 79 35 47 82 242 8 +15
Alex Tuch 74 36 43 79 218 8 +14
Rasmus Dahlin 78 15 57 72 204 7 +12
Dylan Cozens 81 31 38 69 212 5 -3

How to Bet on Sabres vs. Lightning

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Lightning Key Players (Stats from 2022-23)

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Nikita Kucherov 82 30 82 112 272 8 -2
Brayden Point 82 51 44 95 235 20 +2
Steven Stamkos 81 34 50 84 240 13 -5
Brandon Hagel 81 30 34 64 178 7 +23
Mikhail Sergachev 79 10 53 63 156 3 +13

Betting Trends

  • The Sabres won 14 of their 24 games when listed as a moneyline favorite last season (58.3%).
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Sabres have an implied win probability of 55.8%.
  • Last season the Lightning were an underdog 21 times, and won eight, or 38.1%, of those games.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Lightning, based on the moneyline, is 49.0%.
  • In 51 games last season, Buffalo and its opponent combined for more than 7 goals.
  • Tampa Bay combined with its opponent to score more than 7 goals in 46 of 88 games last season.

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