Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Week 6

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 14, 2023

The Washington Commanders (2-3) visit the Atlanta Falcons (3-2) on Sunday, October 15, 2023 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium and will aim to break a three-game losing streak. Here are best bets recommendations.

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Spread: Falcons (-1.5) to Cover

  • Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Falcons winning by a considerably greater margin (16.5 points). Take the Falcons.
  • Atlanta is 1-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Falcons have won once ATS (1-2) as a 1.5-point favorite or more this season.
  • Atlanta is winless against the spread (0-3) and 1-2 overall during its past three matchups.
  • Washington is 2-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Commanders have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Washington is 1-2 against the spread over its past three games, and has a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests.

Think the Falcons will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 42

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is just 2.8 points lower than the model projection.
  • Washington has played in three games this year where they and their opponents combined to score more than 42 points.
  • Games featuring the Falcons have gone over the point total just once this season.
  • In the Commanders’ five contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Falcons (-120)

  • Prediction:
    Atlanta 31 – Washington 14
  • Atlanta has been the moneyline favorite a total of three times this season, and they’ve won all of those games.
  • Washington has entered the game as an underdog three times this season and won once.

Which team do you think will take home the win? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Falcons and Commanders Splits

Falcons Commanders
Record 3-2 2-3
At Home 3-0 1-2
On the Road 0-2 1-1
In Conference 2-1 1-2
In Division 1-0 0-1
One Possession Games 2-0 2-1
Indoor 3-2 0-0
Outdoor 0-0 2-3

Interested in more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!

Desmond Ridder Passing TDs: Under 1.50 (-280)

  • 2023 Season: 1,073 PASS YDS / 214.6 YPG / 65.4% / 4 TD / 3 INT
  • In Falcons’ Last 5 Games: 1,073 PASS YDS / 214.6 YPG / 65.4% / 4 TD / 3 INT
  • In Falcons’ Last 3 Games: 721 PASS YDS / 240.3 YPG / 64.2% / 2 TD / 2 INT

Check out all of Ridder’s props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards: Under 68.50 (-115)

  • 2023 Season: 67 CAR / 364 YDS / 72.8 YPG / 0 TD
  • In Falcons’ Last 5 Games: 67 CAR / 364 YDS / 72.8 YPG / 0 TD
  • In Falcons’ Last 3 Games: 67 CAR / 364 YDS / 72.8 YPG / 0 TD

Check out all of Robinson’s props for this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards: Under 50.50 (-115)

  • 2023 Season: 25 REC / 261 YDS / 52.2 YPG / 1 TD
  • In Commanders’ Last 5 Games: 25 REC / 261 YDS / 52.2 YPG / 1 TD
  • In Commanders’ Last 3 Games: 18 REC / 176 YDS / 58.7 YPG / 0 TD

Check out all of McLaurin’s props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

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