Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: NLCS Game 1 Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – October 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 13, 2023

The Philadelphia Phillies take on the Arizona Diamondbacks to begin the NLCS at , on Monday at 8:07 PM ET.

The Diamondbacks (+136 underdog on the moneyline to win) are away versus the Phillies (-163). The total for this game is 7.5.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of October 13, 2023 at 3:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -163 +136 7.5

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 112 games this season and won 68 (60.7%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia has entered 44 games this season favored by -163 or more and is 28-16 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 62% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 77 of its 168 chances.
  • The Phillies are 79-89-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 17
ERA 2.79
K/9 8.9

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 92 games this year and have walked away with the win 45 times (48.9%) in those games.
  • Arizona has a mark of 13-16 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +136 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 42.4% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 73 of its 167 opportunities.
  • The Diamondbacks are 93-74-0 against the spread in their 167 games that had a posted line this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 13
ERA 2.33
K/9 9.2

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Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Craig Kimbrel 71 69 94 3.26 7 23
Gregory Soto 68 60.1 65 4.62 24 3
Seranthony Domínguez 57 50 48 3.78 14 2
Jeff Hoffman 53 52.1 69 2.41 11 1
Matt Moore 49 52.2 60 2.56 22 0

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Miguel Castro 72 64.2 60 4.31 13 7
Paul Sewald 65 60.2 80 3.12 0 34
Kyle Nelson 63 56 67 4.18 11 0
Kevin Ginkel 60 65.1 70 2.48 8 4
Joe Mantiply 31 39 28 4.62 1 0

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies are 50-16 this season in games when they send out two or more bombs.
  • Philadelphia has gone 38-10 in its 48 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 72-38 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
  • Philadelphia has a 71-17 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Phillies are 39-21 in the 60 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • They are 37-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 25-7.
  • They have a record of 78-34 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Arizona has a 71-19 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 28-25 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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