The Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers in the first game of the ALCS, at 8:15 PM ET on Sunday.
The favored Astros (-140 on the moneyline to win) host the Rangers (+117). The over/under in the game is 9 total runs.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of October 13, 2023 at 9:15 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Rangers Betting Lines
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Astros | -140 | +117 | 9 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been favorites in 120 games this season and won 63 (52.5%) of those contests.
- Houston has a record of 42-37, a 53.2% win rate, when favored by -140 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Astros have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Houston’s games have gone over the total in 87 of its 166 chances.
- The Astros are 83-83-0 ATS in their 166 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 8-2 |
Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
HR | 17 |
ERA | 2.33 |
K/9 | 10.7 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 56 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (51.8%) in those games.
- Texas has a mark of 10-13 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +117 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 46.1% chance of pulling out a win.
- Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 86 of its 167 opportunities.
- The Rangers are 91-76-0 against the spread in their 167 games that had a posted line this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 7-3 |
Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
HR | 12 |
ERA | 2.48 |
K/9 | 9.0 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander
- Verlander’s team is 13-15-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
- Verlander will look to finish five or more innings for the 22nd start in a row.
- He has kept opponents from scoring an earned run in two straight appearances.
- When Verlander starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 13-9.
- Verlander’s team has won 16 of his 27 starts this season.
- Games Verlander has started this season hit the over 12 times in 28 chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryan Abreu | 70 | 72 | 100 | 1.75 | 24 | 5 |
Héctor Neris | 69 | 68.1 | 77 | 1.71 | 31 | 2 |
Phil Maton | 67 | 66 | 74 | 3.00 | 10 | 1 |
Rafael Montero | 67 | 67.1 | 79 | 5.08 | 10 | 1 |
Ryan Pressly | 63 | 65.1 | 74 | 3.58 | 0 | 31 |
Rangers Relief Pitchers
Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chris Stratton | 63 | 82.2 | 81 | 4.03 | 8 | 1 |
Aroldis Chapman | 59 | 58.1 | 103 | 3.09 | 14 | 6 |
Will Smith | 59 | 57.1 | 55 | 4.40 | 8 | 22 |
José Leclerc | 56 | 57 | 67 | 2.68 | 8 | 4 |
Brock Burke | 52 | 59.2 | 52 | 4.37 | 12 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a 46-16 record this season in games when they belt two or more home runs.
- Houston is 31-10 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 84-31 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Houston is 78-16 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Astros are 40-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They are 58-21 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Texas has gone 40-14 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 88 of the 129 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Texas has a 82-24 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 62 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 41-21
Astros vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-140)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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