The Atlanta Braves hit the road for Game 4 of the NLDS versus the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday at 8:07 PM ET. The Phillies lead 2-1 and can clinch with a victory.
The Phillies are an underdog at home (+126) versus the Braves (-152). The over/under in the game is 8 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of October 12, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Phillies Betting Lines
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Braves | -152 | +126 | 8 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 97, or 64.7%, of the 150 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta has a record of 73-33 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -152 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 94 of 165 opportunities.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 84-81-0 in 165 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
HR | 12 |
ERA | 5.20 |
K/9 | 8.2 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won in 25, or 47.2%, of the 53 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win four times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 44.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 77 of its 167 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Phillies are 78-89-0 against the spread in their 167 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
HR | 17 |
ERA | 3.31 |
K/9 | 9.8 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider’s team is 20-13-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in seven innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Strider has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished six appearances without allowing an earned run in 32 chances this season.
- Strider’s team has won 78.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (26-7).
- Strider’s team has won 26 of his 32 starts.
- Out of Strider’s 33 starts with a total this season, 19 have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A.J. Minter | 69 | 64.2 | 82 | 3.76 | 21 | 10 |
Pierce Johnson | 66 | 62.2 | 90 | 4.02 | 12 | 13 |
Brad Hand | 60 | 53.2 | 59 | 5.53 | 5 | 1 |
Kirby Yates | 59 | 60.1 | 80 | 3.28 | 9 | 5 |
Joe Jiménez | 58 | 56.1 | 73 | 3.04 | 13 | 0 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- Suarez (4-6 with a 4.18 ERA and 119 strikeouts in 125 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his 23rd of the season.
- In his last outing on Saturday against the Atlanta Braves, the left-hander tossed 3 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering one hit.
- Suarez is trying to record his 19th start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Phillies have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Suarez’s starts this season, and they went 5-3 in those games.
- Over Suarez’s 22 starts, his team is 14-9.
- Suarez’s starts hit the over on the run total nine times in 23 games with a set total this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Craig Kimbrel | 71 | 69 | 94 | 3.26 | 7 | 23 |
Gregory Soto | 68 | 60.1 | 65 | 4.62 | 24 | 3 |
Seranthony Domínguez | 57 | 50 | 48 | 3.78 | 14 | 2 |
Jeff Hoffman | 53 | 52.1 | 69 | 2.41 | 11 | 1 |
Matt Moore | 49 | 52.2 | 60 | 2.56 | 22 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have racked up at least two dingers in 92 games this season, and are 69-23 in those outings.
- Atlanta has gone 40-7 in its 47 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits 117 times this season, and has an 81-36 record in those games.
- Atlanta is 86-24 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 42 games this season, and are 30-12 in those contests.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 65 games this season and are 49-16 in those matchups.
- Philadelphia has gone 38-10 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 71 of the 109 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Philadelphia has a 71-17 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 39-21 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+126)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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