Week 6 of the NFL season features Derek Carr and the New Orleans Saints facing off against the Houston Texans at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.
Derek Carr Player Props vs the Texans
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230.5 | -115 | 1.5 | +150 | 2.5 | -115 | +750 |
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230.5 | -115 | 2.5 | -115 | 1.5 | +150 | 1.5 | -160 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 1 | 1 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 3 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
Derek Carr’s Passing Trends
- Carr has thrown for 946 yards (189.2 ypg), completing 65.3% of his passes and collecting four touchdown passes and two interceptions this season.
- With 946 yards on 150 attempts, Carr ranks 27th in the league with 6.3 passing yards per attempt.
- Carr’s 946 passing yards and four passing touchdowns rank 24th and 25th, respectively, in league play.
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Carr’s Rushing Trends
- Carr has also chipped in on the ground, with five rushing yards (1.0 ypg) on 10 carries.
- He averages 0.5 yards per rush.
This Week’s Predictions
| Carr (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Texans (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230.5+ Passing Yards | 20% | 50.9% | 40% | 28.9% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 60% | 78.6% | 60% | 62.3% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 20% | 37.1% | 0% | 17.1% |
| 2.5+ Rushing Yards | 40% | 99.6% | 100% | 62.4% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 32.8% | 33.3% | 12.4% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 3.9% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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