Tua Tagovailoa: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 6 Dolphins Vs Panthers – October 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 11, 2023

Tua Tagovailoa and his Miami Dolphins teammates face the Carolina Panthers in a Week 6 NFL matchup at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Tua Tagovailoa Player Props vs the Panthers

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
281.5 -115 2.5 +170 4.5 -110 +380
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout
281.5 -115 4.5 -110 2.5 +170

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 4 3
Games w/ 1+ TDs 5 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 3 0

Tua Tagovailoa’s Passing Trends

  • Tagovailoa leads Miami with 1,614 passing yards (322.8 per game) and has a 71.7% completion percentage this year (119-of-166) while throwing 11 touchdowns and five interceptions.
  • With 1,614 yards on 166 attempts, Tagovailoa ranks first in the NFL with 9.7 passing yards per attempt.
  • Tagovailoa is first in the league with 1,614 passing yards, and third with 11 passing touchdowns.

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Tagovailoa’s Rushing Trends

  • Tagovailoa also adds 21 rushing yards (4.2 ypg) on 13 carries.
  • He picks up 1.6 yards per carry (21 yards on 13 attempts).

This Week’s Predictions

Tagovailoa (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Panthers (2023) Prediction
281.5+ Passing Yards 80% 27% 20% 58.4%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 78.6% 80% 92.3%
2+ Passing TDs 60% 37.1% 40% 52.1%
4.5+ Rushing Yards 60% 99.6% 100% 75%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 32.8% 50% 16.6%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.7% 30% 8.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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