Baker Mayfield: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 6 Buccaneers Vs Lions – October 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 11, 2023

Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face the Detroit Lions at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday in Week 6 of the 2023 NFL campaign.

Baker Mayfield Player Props vs the Lions

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
228.5 -115 1.5 +160 13.5 -115 +550
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout
228.5 -115 13.5 -115 1.5 +160

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 2 3
Games w/ 1+ TDs 4 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 2 0

Baker Mayfield’s Passing Trends

  • Mayfield has passed for 882 yards (220.5 per game) while completing 69.6% of his passes (87-for-125), with seven touchdowns and two interceptions.
  • Mayfield is averaging 7.1 yards per attempt passing this season, which ranks 13th in the league.
  • Mayfield is 28th in the league with 882 passing yards, and 10th with seven touchdowns through the air.

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Mayfield’s Rushing Trends

  • Mayfield has also helped out on the ground, with 61 rushing yards (15.3 ypg) on 23 carries.
  • He picks up 2.7 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Mayfield (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Lions (2023) Prediction
228.5+ Passing Yards 50% 50.9% 60% 52.6%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 78.6% 80% 92.3%
2+ Passing TDs 50% 37.1% 60% 50.9%
13.5+ Rushing Yards 50% 95.9% 83.3% 64.1%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 32.8% 16.7% 8.3%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.7% 16.7% 5.3%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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