Patrick Mahomes II will take the field for the Kansas City Chiefs when they take on the Denver Broncos at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday in Week 6 of the NFL season.
Patrick Mahomes II Player Props vs the Broncos
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 269.5 | -115 | 2.5 | +135 | 21.5 | +100 | +295 |
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 269.5 | -115 | 21.5 | +100 | 2.5 | +135 | 3.5 | -135 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 1 | 4 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 5 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 4 | 0 |
Patrick Mahomes II’s Passing Trends
- Mahomes has passed for 1,287 yards (257.4 per game) while completing 66.8% of his passes (123-for-184), with 10 touchdowns and four interceptions.
- Mahomes averages 7.0 yards per attempt this season, which ranks 17th in the NFL.
- Mahomes is seventh in the NFL in passing yards (1,287) and sixth in TDs (10).
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Mahomes’ Rushing Trends
- Mahomes has also contributed in the ground game, with 154 rushing yards (30.8 ypg) on 23 carries.
- He racks up 6.7 yards per carry (154 yards on 23 attempts).
This Week’s Predictions
| Mahomes (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Broncos (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 269.5+ Passing Yards | 60% | 30.6% | 60% | 56.3% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 100% | 78.3% | 80.0% | 92.3% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 80% | 37.6% | 80.0% | 74.7% |
| 21.5+ Rushing Yards | 80% | 89.5% | 87.5% | 83.1% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 33.2% | 50.0% | 16.6% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 8.8% | 37.5% | 10.5% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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