The Kansas City Chiefs and Justin Watson will face the Denver Broncos at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday for a Week 6 NFL contest.
Justin Watson Player Props vs the Broncos
| Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5 | -120 | +425 |
| Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.5 | -120 | 1.5 | -115 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Receiving | |
|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 4 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 |
Justin Watson’s Receiving Trends
- Watson has put together a 219-yard campaign so far (43.8 receiving yards per game), hauling in 10 balls on 16 targets.
- Watson’s 21.9 yards per catch average is second in the NFL.
- Watson’s 219 receiving yards rank 55th in the league.
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This Week’s Predictions
| Watson (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Broncos (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.5+ Receiving Yards | 80% | 64.8% | 63% | 73.8% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 20.5% | 33.3% | 10.9% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 3.3% | 11.1% | 3.2% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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