Marvin Mims: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 6 Broncos Vs Chiefs – October 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 10, 2023

NFL action in Week 6 at Arrowhead Stadium will see the Denver Broncos and Marvin Mims face the Kansas City Chiefs at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday.

Marvin Mims Player Props vs the Chiefs

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
19.5 -115 +475
Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
19.5 -115 1.5 -145

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 1
Games w/ 1+ TDs 1
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0

Marvin Mims’ Receiving Trends

  • Mims has grabbed 10 balls, with a team-best 246 receiving yards plus one touchdown. He has been targeted 12 times, and is averaging 49.2 yards per game.
  • Mims’ 24.6 yards per catch average is first in the NFL.
  • Mims’ 246 receiving yards and one receiving TD rank 44th and 59th, respectively, in the NFL.

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This Week’s Predictions

Mims (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Chiefs (2023) Prediction
19.5+ Receiving Yards 60% 72.6% 64.3% 62.6%
1+ Receiving TDs 20% 20.5% 17.9% 19.5%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.3% 0% 0.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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