Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – October 11, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 9, 2023

The Toronto Maple Leafs will host the Montreal Canadiens on Wednesday, October 11, in a season opener for both squads. The Canadiens are heavy underdogs away from home, at +230, and the Maple Leafs are -290.

The insights in this article reference odds valid as of October 11, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. See below the latest odds for this outing and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: TOR: (-290) | MON: (+230)
  • Puck line: TOR: -1.5 (-114) | MON: +1.5 (-107)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (-125) | Under: (+101)

Injury Report as of October 11

Maple Leafs: Conor Timmins: Lower Body (Out), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), John Klingberg: Upper Body (Questionable), Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out)

Canadiens: Christian Dvorak: Knee (Out), Chris Wideman: Back (Out), Carey Price: Knee (Out), Tanner Pearson: Hand (Questionable)

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Maple Leafs
Total Pick Under (6.5)
Spread Pick Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Team Stats (2022-23)

Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) Canadiens Avg. (Rank)
3.39 (9th) Goals Scored 2.78 (26th)
2.68 (7th) Goals Allowed 3.72 (29th)
32.0 (12th) Shots 27.2 (30th)
29.5 (7th) Shots Allowed 33.5 (28th)

Maple Leafs Key Players (Stats from 2022-23)

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Mitchell Marner 80 30 69 99 196 9 +18
William Nylander 82 40 47 87 293 9 +10
Auston Matthews 74 40 45 85 327 13 +31
John Tavares 80 36 44 80 277 18 -7
Max Domi 80 20 36 56 179 8 -15

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Canadiens Key Players (Stats from 2022-23)

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Nicholas Suzuki 82 26 40 66 162 7 -13
Kirby Dach 58 14 24 38 107 6 -2
Cole Caulfield 46 26 10 36 157 7 -10
Michael Matheson 48 8 25 33 126 0 +7
Josh Anderson 69 20 11 31 162 4 -8

Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs won 56.0% of their games last season when favored on the moneyline (42-33).
  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Maple Leafs a 74.4% chance to win.
  • The Canadiens were made an underdog 76 times last season, and won 27, or 35.5%, of those games.
  • The moneyline set for this contest implies a 30.3% chance of victory for the Canadiens.
  • Toronto and its opponent combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 43 of 93 games last season.
  • Montreal played 40 games last season that ended with over 6.5 goals.

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