The Texas Rangers are at home for Game 3 of the ALDS versus the Baltimore Orioles, Tuesday at 8:03 PM ET. The Rangers lead 2-0 and would sweep with a win.
The Rangers are a home favorite (-141) against the Orioles (+119). The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The betting facts in what follows reflect odds as of October 10, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -141 | +119 | 9 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- This season, the Rangers have won 65 out of the 110 games, or 59.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Texas is 41-26 this season when entering a game favored by -141 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.5% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
- Games involving Texas has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 86 of 166 chances this season.
- The Rangers are 90-76-0 ATS in their 166 games with a spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.35 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been underdogs in 80 games this season and have come away with the win 46 times (57.5%) in those contests.
- Baltimore has a win-loss record of 17-13 when favored by +119 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 82 of its 164 opportunities.
- The Orioles are 97-67-0 against the spread in their 164 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 2.30 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Nathan Eovaldi
- Eovaldi and his team are 15-11-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up one earned run while allowing six hits.
- In 25 starts this season, Eovaldi has lasted five or more innings 21 times, with an average of 5.8 innings per appearance.
- He has eight appearances with no earned runs allowed in 25 chances this season.
- Eovaldi’s team has won 68.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-5).
- Eovaldi’s team is 16-10 when he starts this season.
- Out of Eovaldi’s 26 starts with a total this season, 15 have hit the over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 63 | 82.2 | 81 | 4.03 | 8 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 59 | 58.1 | 103 | 3.09 | 14 | 6 |
| Will Smith | 59 | 57.1 | 55 | 4.40 | 8 | 22 |
| José Leclerc | 56 | 57 | 67 | 2.68 | 8 | 4 |
| Brock Burke | 52 | 59.2 | 52 | 4.37 | 12 | 0 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer
- Kremer makes the start for the Orioles, his 33rd of the season. He is 13-5 with a 4.12 ERA and 157 strikeouts in 172 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Thursday, Sept. 28, the righty tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings against the Boston Red Sox while surrendering two hits.
- Kremer will look to pick up his 25th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.4 innings per appearance.
- He has had five appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Orioles are 13-5 in Kremer’s 18 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Kremer’s team is 24-8 in his 32 starts.
- Kremer has had 32 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 18 of those outings.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 71 | 72.2 | 65 | 2.11 | 31 | 8 |
| Cionel Pérez | 64 | 53.1 | 44 | 3.54 | 11 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 60 | 51.1 | 58 | 2.81 | 23 | 2 |
| Jacob Webb | 54 | 53.2 | 57 | 3.69 | 12 | 1 |
| Bryan Baker | 45 | 45 | 51 | 3.60 | 11 | 0 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers have a 57-21 record in games this season when they smash two or more home runs.
- Texas has gone 39-14 in its 53 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits in 128 games this season, and is 87-41 in those contests.
- Texas is 81-24 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Rangers are 41-21 in the 62 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They are 43-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Baltimore has won 37 of its 41 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 102 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 74-28.
- In 91 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 78-13.
- In 41 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 31-10
Rangers vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-141)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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