The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies in the second game of the NLDS on Monday at 6:07 PM ET. The Phillies lead the series 1-0.
The Phillies (+132 underdog on the moneyline to win) visit the Braves (-158). The game’s total is 8.
The betting facts in the following article reference odds valid as of October 9, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -158 | +132 | 8 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 149 games this season and won 96 (64.4%) of those contests.
- Atlanta is 67-28 this season when entering a game favored by -158 or more on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 92 of 163 chances this season.
- In 163 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 84-79-0 ATS.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.80 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have come away with 25 wins in the 52 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Philadelphia has been victorious four times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +132 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 43.1% chance of walking away with the win.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of its 165 opportunities.
- In 165 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 76-89-0 against the spread.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried
- Fried’s team is 9-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Thursday, Sept. 21, when he threw six innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up one earned run.
- Fried will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
- He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 14 chances this season.
- When Fried starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 11-3.
- Fried’s team has an 11-3 record in his starts this season.
- In games Fried has started this season, the teams are 9-5-0 at hitting the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 69 | 64.2 | 82 | 3.76 | 21 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 66 | 62.2 | 90 | 4.02 | 12 | 13 |
| Brad Hand | 60 | 53.2 | 59 | 5.53 | 5 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 59 | 60.1 | 80 | 3.28 | 9 | 5 |
| Joe Jiménez | 58 | 56.1 | 73 | 3.04 | 13 | 0 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler makes the start for the Phillies, his 33rd of the season. He is 13-6 with a 3.61 ERA and 212 strikeouts over 192 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the Miami Marlins, the right-hander tossed 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
- Wheeler will try to secure his 30th game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per appearance.
- He has had four appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Phillies are 3-1 in Wheeler’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Wheeler’s team has won 20 of his 32 starts.
- Wheeler has had 33 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 14 of those outings finished over the total.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 71 | 69 | 94 | 3.26 | 7 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 68 | 60.1 | 65 | 4.62 | 24 | 3 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 57 | 50 | 48 | 3.78 | 14 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 53 | 52.1 | 69 | 2.41 | 11 | 1 |
| Matt Moore | 49 | 52.2 | 60 | 2.56 | 22 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit two or more round-trippers in 91 games this season, and are 68-23 in those outings.
- Atlanta is 40-7 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 81-35 in the games this season it has notched at least eight hits.
- Atlanta is 85-24 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 30-12 in the 42 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They are 48-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Philadelphia has gone 37-10 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 70-37 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Philadelphia has a 70-17 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 59 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 39-20
Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-158)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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