Orioles vs. Rangers Prediction: ALDS Game 2 Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – October 8, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 7, 2023

The Baltimore Orioles are at home for Game 2 of the ALDS versus the Texas Rangers, Sunday at 4:07 PM ET. The Rangers have a 1-0 series lead.

An expected close matchup features the Orioles (-110 on the moneyline) against the Rangers (-109). The total for this game is 7.5.

The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of October 8, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Orioles vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Orioles -110 -109 7.5

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been favorites in 83 games this season and won 55 (66.3%) of those contests.
  • Baltimore has a record of 55-28 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 81 of its 163 chances.
  • The Orioles are 97-66-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 4
ERA 1.82
K/9 9.3

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have come away with 28 wins in the 55 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Texas has a mark of 27-25 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 52.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 85 of its 165 opportunities.
  • The Rangers are 89-76-0 against the spread in their 165 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 13
ERA 2.72
K/9 9

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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Grayson Rodriguez

  • Rodriguez’s team is 14-9-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, Sept. 27, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up one earned run while allowing six hits.
  • Rodriguez has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has made 23 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Rodriguez’s team has a record of 7-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Rodriguez’s team has a 14-9 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Rodriguez has started this season, the teams are 15-8-0 at hitting the over.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yeinier Cano 71 72.2 65 2.11 31 8
Cionel Pérez 64 53.1 44 3.54 11 3
Danny Coulombe 60 51.1 58 2.81 23 2
Jacob Webb 54 53.2 57 3.69 12 1
Bryan Baker 45 45 51 3.6 11 0

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery

  • Montgomery (10-11 with a 3.20 ERA and 166 strikeouts in 188 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Rangers, his 33rd of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Tuesday, the left-hander went seven scoreless innings against the Tampa Bay Rays while surrendering six hits.
  • Montgomery is trying for his seventh straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.9 innings per start.
  • He has had seven appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Rangers are 3-4 in Montgomery’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Montgomery’s team has a 12-21 record in his 32 starts.
  • Montgomery’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 14 of 33 contests.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 63 82.2 81 4.03 8 1
Aroldis Chapman 59 58.1 103 3.09 14 6
Will Smith 59 57.1 55 4.4 8 22
José Leclerc 56 57 67 2.68 8 4
Brock Burke 52 59.2 52 4.37 12 0

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • The Orioles have a 43-14 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Baltimore has had five or more extra-base hits in 40 games this season, and has gone 37-3 in those contests.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits 102 times this season, and has a 74-28 record in those games.
  • Baltimore has a 78-12 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Orioles have drawn at least five walks in 41 games this season, and are 31-10 in those contests.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They are 56-21 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 52 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 38-14.
  • In 125 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 85-40.
  • Texas has won 79 of its 103 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 39-21 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Orioles vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-110)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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