Astros vs. Twins ALDS Game 1 Probable Starting Pitching Matchup

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 5, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The ALDS opens with a matchup between the Houston Astros and the Minnesota Twins at Minute Maid Park on Saturday, starting at 4:45 PM ET. The Astros will look to Justin Verlander (13-8) against the Twins and Bailey Ober (8-6).

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Houston vs. Minnesota Pitcher Matchup Info

  • When: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 4:45 PM ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
  • How to Watch on TV: FOX
  • Probable Pitchers: Verlander – HOU (13-8, 3.22 ERA) vs Ober – MIN (8-6, 3.43 ERA)

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Astros vs. Twins Starting Pitcher Stats (2023)

Verlander Ober
27 GS 26
13-8 W-L 8-6
3.22 ERA 3.43
162.1 IP 144.1
45 BB 29
144 SO 146

Astros Probable Starting Pitcher: Justin Verlander

  • The righty last pitched on Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he went five scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • In 27 games this season, the 40-year-old has an ERA of 3.22, with 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .222 against him.
  • Verlander has 15 quality starts under his belt this year.
  • In six of his 27 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
  • The 40-year-old ranks eighth in ERA (3.22), 14th in WHIP (1.133), and 34th in K/9 (8.0) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.
  • When Verlander starts, his team is 12-15-0 against the spread this season.
  • In games Verlander has started this season, the teams are 11-16-0 at hitting the over.

Verlander’s Recent Performance

Opponent Date IP H R ER K BB
at Diamondbacks Sep. 30 5.0 2 0 0 5 3
at Mariners Sep. 25 8.0 3 1 1 8 1
vs. Orioles Sep. 18 6.0 8 3 3 5 1
vs. Athletics Sep. 12 7.0 8 5 5 7 0
at Rangers Sep. 6 7.0 4 2 1 6 1

Twins Probable Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober

  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched to a 3.43 ERA this season with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.8 walks per nine across 26 games.
  • In 26 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 12 of them.
  • He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 26 chances this season.
  • The Twins have a 14-12-0 ATS record in Ober’s 26 starts with a set spread.
  • Ober’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 10 of 26 games.

Ober’s Recent Performance

Opponent Date IP H R ER K BB
at Rockies Oct. 1 6.2 2 1 1 9 0
vs. Athletics Sep. 26 5.0 2 0 0 8 0
at Reds Sep. 20 5.0 3 2 2 3 3
at White Sox Sep. 15 5.0 5 2 2 6 0
vs. Rangers Aug. 27 4.0 5 5 5 4 1

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