A.J. Dillon: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 5 Packers Vs Raiders – October 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 5, 2023

NFL action in Week 5 will see A.J. Dillon and the Green Bay Packers face the Las Vegas Raiders at 8:15 PM ET on Monday.

A.J. Dillon Player Props vs the Raiders

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
48.5 +105 9.5 -110 +100
Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
48.5 +105 9.5 -110 13.5 -115 1.5 -120

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 0 1
Games w/ 1+ TDs 0 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0 0

A.J. Dillon’s Rushing Trends

  • Dillon has carried the ball 44 times for a team-high 118 yards (29.5 per game).
  • He averages 2.7 yards per carry (42nd in NFL).
  • Dillon is 53rd in the league with 118 yards rushing.

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Dillon’s Receiving Trends

  • Dillon also has three catches this season for 25 yards (6.3 ypg).
  • Dillon is averaging 8.3 yards per catch this season, with 25 yards on three receptions.

This Week’s Predictions

Dillon (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Raiders (2023) Prediction
48.5+ Rushing Yards 25% 48.7% 50% 34.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 32.6% 25% 10.3%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.9% 12.5% 4.2%
9.5+ Receiving Yards 25% 91.5% 80% 47.1%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 20.6% 28% 9.6%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.4% 0% 0.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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