Week 5 of the NFL season features Dawson Knox and the Buffalo Bills taking on the Jacksonville Jaguars at 9:30 AM ET on Sunday.
Dawson Knox Player Props vs the Jaguars
| Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | -115 | +275 |
| Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | -115 | 1.5 | -190 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Receiving | |
|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 1 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 1 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 |
Dawson Knox’s Receiving Trends
- Knox has hauled in eight grabs for 58 yards and one touchdown this season. He has been targeted 13 times, and averages 14.5 yards per game.
- With 58 yards on eight receptions, Knox ranks 116th in the NFL with 7.3 yards per catch this season.
- Knox’s 58 receiving yards and one receiving TD rank 164th and 46th, respectively, in the league.
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This Week’s Predictions
| Knox (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Jaguars (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5+ Receiving Yards | 25% | 75% | 76% | 44% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 25% | 20.3% | 24% | 24.2% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 3.5% | 0% | 0.4% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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