The Baltimore Orioles will host the Texas Rangers to begin the ALDS at 1:03 PM ET on Saturday.
The Orioles are favored (-140 on the moneyline) when they take the field at home against the Rangers (+116). The total in the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of October 7, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -140 | +116 | 7.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won 55, or 67.1%, of the 82 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Baltimore has entered 55 games this season favored by -140 or more and is 40-15 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 58.3%.
- Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 81 of 162 opportunities.
- The Orioles are 97-65-0 ATS in their 162 games with a spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 3 |
| ERA | 2.05 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have won in 27, or 50%, of the 54 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Texas has come away with a win 10 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or longer on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 46.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 85 of its 164 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Rangers have posted a record of 88-76-0 against the spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.35 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish
- Bradish’s team is 17-13-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed two innings without a run or hit allowed in a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
- Bradish has started 30 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 24 times. He averages 5.6 innings per appearance.
- He is looking for his fourth appearance in a row with no earned runs allowed.
- Bradish’s team is 13-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Bradish’s team has a 19-11 record in his starts this season.
- In Bradish’s 30 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 71 | 72.2 | 65 | 2.11 | 31 | 8 |
| Cionel Pérez | 64 | 53.1 | 44 | 3.54 | 11 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 60 | 51.1 | 58 | 2.81 | 23 | 2 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 56 | 79 | 83 | 7.18 | 5 | 2 |
| Jacob Webb | 54 | 53.2 | 57 | 3.69 | 12 | 1 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Andrew Heaney
- The Rangers will send Heaney (10-6) out for his 29th start of the season. He is 10-6 with a 4.15 ERA and 151 strikeouts in 147 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday against the Seattle Mariners, the lefty went 4 1/3 scoreless innings while surrendering five hits.
- Heaney is looking to collect his 19th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- He is trying to have his sixth straight appearance with no earned runs surrendered.
- The Rangers have a 5-4 record in Heaney’s nine starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Heaney’s team has compiled a 16-12 record in his 28 starts.
- Heaney’s starts went over the run total 16 times in 28 games with a set total this season.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 63 | 82.2 | 81 | 4.03 | 8 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 59 | 58.1 | 103 | 3.09 | 14 | 6 |
| Will Smith | 59 | 57.1 | 55 | 4.40 | 8 | 22 |
| José Leclerc | 56 | 57 | 67 | 2.68 | 8 | 4 |
| Brock Burke | 52 | 59.2 | 52 | 4.37 | 12 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have a 43-14 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Baltimore has put up at least five extra-base hits in 40 games this season, and has gone 37-3 in those outings.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits 102 times this season, and has a 74-28 record in those games.
- Baltimore has a 78-12 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 40 games this season, and are 31-9 in those contests.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They are 56-21 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 52 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 38-14.
- They have a record of 84-40 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 103 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 79-24.
- They have won 38 of their 59 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Orioles vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-140)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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