NFL play in Week 5 will see the Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes II take on the Minnesota Vikings at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.
Patrick Mahomes II Player Props vs the Vikings
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292.5 | -115 | 2.5 | +130 | 24.5 | -115 | +245 |
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292.5 | -115 | 24.5 | -115 | 2.5 | +130 | 4.5 | -105 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 1 | 4 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 4 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 3 | 0 |
Patrick Mahomes II’s Passing Trends
- Mahomes has passed for 1,006 yards (251.5 per game) while completing 64.3% of his passes (92-for-143), with eight touchdowns and four interceptions.
- With 1,006 yards on 143 attempts, Mahomes ranks 17th in the league with 7.0 passing yards per attempt.
- Mahomes ranks sixth in the NFL with eight touchdowns through the air, and 12th with 1,006 passing yards.
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Mahomes’ Rushing Trends
- Mahomes also has 154 rushing yards on 23 carries, averaging 38.5 yards per game on the ground.
- He racks up 6.7 yards per carry (154 yards on 23 attempts).
This Week’s Predictions
| Mahomes (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Vikings (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292.5+ Passing Yards | 25% | 22.9% | 25% | 24.7% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 100% | 79.4% | 75% | 91.2% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 75% | 35.9% | 50% | 63.9% |
| 24.5+ Rushing Yards | 100% | 87.4% | 57.1% | 87.7% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 31.3% | 28.6% | 11.1% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 4.8% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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