Alvin Kamara: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 5 Saints Vs Patriots – October 8, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 4, 2023

Alvin Kamara and his New Orleans Saints teammates match up against the New England Patriots in a Week 5 NFL matchup at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Alvin Kamara Player Props vs the Patriots

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
57.5 -115 30.5 -120 +130
Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
57.5 -115 30.5 -120 15.5 +100 4.5 -115

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 6 6
Games w/1+ TDs 2 1
Games w/2+ TDs 0 1

Alvin Kamara’s Rushing Trends

  • Last season Kamara rushed for 59.8 yards per game and averaged 32.7 receiving yards. He also scored four touchdowns.
  • He averaged 4.0 rushing yards per attempt (897 yards on 223 carries), 36th in the NFL.
  • Kamara’s 897 rushing yards ranked 20th in the NFL last season, and his two TDs on the ground ranked 62nd.

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Kamara’s Receiving Trends

  • Last season Kamara gained 8.6 yards per reception, 117th in the league.

This Week’s Predictions

Kamara (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Patriots (2022) Prediction
57.5+ Rushing Yards 53.3% 44.7% 37% 48.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 13.3% 35.1% 18.5% 17.3%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 0% 0.8%
30.5+ Receiving Yards 46.7% 56.9% 55.3% 50.1%
1+ Receiving TDs 6.7% 22.3% 27.1% 13.8%
2+ Receiving TDs 6.7% 3.2% 3.5% 5.5%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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