Derek Carr: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 5 Saints Vs Patriots – October 8, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 4, 2023

Derek Carr and his New Orleans Saints teammates take the field against the New England Patriots in a Week 5 NFL matchup at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Derek Carr Player Props vs the Patriots

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
213.5 -115 1.5 +150 +900
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout
213.5 -115 1.5 +150

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 1 1
Games w/ 1+ TDs 2 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0 0

Derek Carr’s Passing Trends

  • Carr has passed for 763 yards while completing 64.5% of his throws (80-of-124), with two touchdowns and two interceptions (190.8 yards per game).
  • Carr ranks 27th in the NFL with 6.2 yards per attempt passing (763 total yards passing).
  • Carr ranks 25th in the league in passing yards (763) and 28th in touchdowns (two).

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Carr’s Rushing Trends

  • Carr also adds one rushing yards (0.3 ypg) on eight carries.
  • He puts up 0.1 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Carr (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Patriots (2023) Prediction
213.5+ Passing Yards 50% 60.3% 50% 51.3%
1+ Passing TDs 50% 79.4% 75% 59.9%
2+ Passing TDs 0% 35.9% 0% 4.5%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 31.3% 14.3% 7.5%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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