NFL action in Week 5 will see the Minnesota Vikings and Justin Jefferson face the Kansas City Chiefs at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.
Justin Jefferson Player Props vs the Chiefs
| Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout |
|---|---|
| 105.5 | -115 |
| Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105.5 | -115 | 7.5 | -125 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Receiving | |
|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 3 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 2 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 1 |
Justin Jefferson’s Receiving Trends
- Jefferson’s team-leading 543 receiving yards (135.8 per game) have come on 33 catches (47 targets) including three touchdowns.
- Jefferson’s 16.5 yards per catch average is 15th in the NFL.
- Jefferson is first in the league with 543 receiving yards, and fourth with three receiving TDs.
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This Week’s Predictions
| Jefferson (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Chiefs (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105.5+ Receiving Yards | 75% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 48.8% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 50% | 20.3% | 14.3% | 37.4% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 25% | 3.5% | 0% | 16.1% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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