Tua Tagovailoa: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 5 Dolphins Vs Giants – October 8, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 4, 2023

Tua Tagovailoa and his Miami Dolphins teammates take on the New York Giants in a Week 5 NFL matchup at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Tua Tagovailoa Player Props vs the Giants

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
288.5 -115 2.5 +160 2.5 -130 +400
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout
288.5 -115 2.5 -130 2.5 +160 2.5 +114

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 3 2
Games w/ 1+ TDs 4 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 2 0

Tua Tagovailoa’s Passing Trends

  • Tagovailoa leads Miami with 1,306 passing yards (326.5 per game) and has a 71.3% completion percentage (97-for-136), tossing nine touchdowns and three interceptions.
  • Tagovailoa ranks first in the NFL with 9.6 yards per attempt as a passer (1,306 total yards passing).
  • Tagovailoa’s 1,306 passing yards and nine passing touchdowns rank second and third, respectively, in league action.

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Tagovailoa’s Rushing Trends

  • Tagovailoa also adds 15 rushing yards (3.8 ypg) on 11 carries.
  • He puts up 1.4 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Tagovailoa (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Giants (2023) Prediction
288.5+ Passing Yards 50% 24.4% 25% 40.6%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 79.4% 75% 91.2%
2+ Passing TDs 50% 35.9% 25% 42%
2.5+ Rushing Yards 75% 99.5% 100% 84.3%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 31.3% 80% 23.9%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 9.6% 20% 6.2%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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